What's My San Diego HVAC Company Worth?

Real EBITDA multiples, service-agreement value, and the PE-driven premiums shaping current pricing.

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HVAC valuations have been transformed by the wave of PE-backed home services consolidation. Operators with $500K+ in EBITDA and recurring service-agreement bases trade at multiples that didn't exist 5 years ago. Below are the current ranges plus the specific drivers that move you up or down within them.

HVAC Company Valuation Multiples (San Diego)

MetricLowTypicalHigh
EBITDA Multiple (PE)5.0x7.0x9.0x
EBITDA Multiple (Operator)3.0x3.8x5.0x
Service Agreement Value$800$1,500$3,000+
Revenue Multiple0.5x0.9x1.5x

Value Drivers Specific to HVAC Company

Service-Agreement Base

Recurring maintenance contracts (PMs) are your single biggest value lever — every 100 contracts adds $100K+ to enterprise value.

Residential vs. Commercial Mix

Residential service is the PE darling; commercial values lower but more stable cash flows.

Tech Bench Quality

EPA-certified, tenured techs with crew leaders preserve transferability.

Average Ticket

Higher average tickets, GM > 35%, NM > 10%: premium multiples.

Frequently Asked Questions

PE has flooded home services since 2020, treating it like recurring-revenue infrastructure. Service-agreement bases trade at 8–10x EBITDA from sophisticated buyers — much higher than historical norms.

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